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Papers published in 2016

A matched comparison study of hepatitis C treatment outcomes in the prison and community setting, and an analysis of the impact of prison release or transfer during therapy‌
Aspinall EJ, Mitchell W, Schofield J, Cairns A, Lamond S, Bramley P, Peters SE, Valerio H, Tomnay J, Goldberg DJ, Mills PR, Barclay ST, Fraser A, Dillon JF, Martin NK, Hickman M, Hutchinson SJ
J Viral Hepat.  December 2016.  PMID: 27509844
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling 

Comment. 4CMenB vaccine effectiveness: reasons for optimism
Basta NE, Christensen H
Lancet.  December 2016.  PMID: 28100431
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

Development and internal validation of a clinical rule to improve antibiotic use in children presenting to primary care with acute respiratory tract infection and cough: a prognostic cohort study‌‌
Hay AD, Redmond NM, Turnbull S, Christensen H, Thornton H, Little P, Thompson M, Delaney B, Lovering AM, Muir P, Leeming JP, Vipond B, Stuart B, Peters TJ, Blair PS
Lancet Respir Med.  November 2016.  PMID: 27594440
Research Theme: Primary Care

Pathways through opiate use and offending: a systematic review
Hayhurst KP, Pierce M, Hickman M, Seddon T, Dunn G, Keane J, Millar T
Int J Drug Policy.  October 2016.  PMID: 27770693
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis

Association of BCG, DTP, and measles containing vaccines with childhood mortality: systematic review‌‌
Higgins JP, Soares-Weiser K, López-López JA, Kakourou A, Chaplin K, Christensen H, Martin NK, Sterne JA, Reingold AL
BMJ.  October 2016.  PMID: 27737834
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis

‌Density distribution of pharyngeal carriage of meningococcus in healthy young adults: New approaches to studying the epidemiology of colonization and vaccine indirect effects‌‌
Finn A, Morales-Aza B, Sikora P, Giles J, Lethem R, Marlais M, Thors V, Pollard AJ, Faust S, Heath P, Vipond I, Ferreira M, Muir P, Januário L, Rodrigues F
Pediatr Infect Dis J.  October 2016.  PMID: 27228196
Research Theme: Population Studies 

Impact of Opioid Substitution Therapy on Antiretroviral Therapy Outcomes: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis‌‌
Low AJ, Mburu G, Welton NJ, May MT, Davies CF, French C, Turner K, Looker KJ, Christensen H, McLean S, Rhodes T6, Platt L, Hickman M, Guise A, Vickerman P
Clin Infect Dis.  October 2016.  PMID: 27343545
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling 

‌The perfect storm: incarceration and the high-risk environment perpetuating transmission of HIV, hepatitis C virus, and tuberculosis in Eastern Europe and Central Asia
Altice FL, Azbel L, Stone J, Brooks-Pollock E, Smyrnov P, Dvoriak S, Taxman FS, El-Bassel N, Martin NK, Booth R, Stöver H, Dolan K, Vickerman P
Lancet.  September 2016.  PMID: 27427455
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling 

Risk of reproductive complications following chlamydia testing: a population-based retrospective cohort study in Denmark
Davies B, Turner KME, Frolund M, Ward H, May MT, Rasmussen S, Benfield T, Westh H, Danish Chlamydia Study Group
Lancet Infect Dis.  September 2016.  PMID: 27289389
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

 Estimating the burden of disease attributable to injecting drug use as a risk factor for HIV, hepatitis C, and hepatitis B: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
Degenhardt L, Charlson F, Stanaway J, Larney S, Alexander LT, Hickman M, Cowie B, Hall WD, Strang J, Whiteford H, Vos T
Lancet Infect Dis.  September 2016.  PMID: 27665254
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis

Overlapping substance using high-risk groups and infectious diseases: How dynamic modelling can evaluate risk and target HIV prevention (Editorial)
Martin NK, Vickerman P, Hickman M, Patterson TL, Rand E, Abramovitz D, Strathdee SA
Addiction.  September 2016.  PMID: 27075692
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

Pneumococcal serotypes colonise the nasopharynx in children at different densities
Rodrigues F, Danon L, Morales-Aza B, Sikora P Thors V, Ferreira M, Gould K, Hinds J, Finn A
PLoS One.  September 2016.  PMID: 27685088
Research Theme: Population Studies

‌HIV treatment as prevention among people who inject drugs - a re-evaluation of the evidence
Fraser H, Mukandavire C, Martin NK, Hickman M, Cohen MS, Miller WC, Vickerman P
Int J Epidemiol.  August 2016 [Epub ahead of print].  PMID: 27524816
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling 

‌New treatments for hepatitis C virus (HCV): scope for preventing liver disease and HCV transmission in England
Harris RJ, Martin NK, Rand E, Mandal S, Mutimer D, Vickerman P, Ramsay ME, De Angelis D, Hickman M, Harris HE
J Viral Hepat.  August 2016.  PMID: 27025238
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌Uptake of childhood influenza vaccine from 2012-2013 to 2014-2015 in the UK and the implications for high-risk children: a retrospective observational cohort study
Rajaram S, Steffey A, Blak B, Hickman M, Christensen H, Caspard H
BMJ Open.  August 2016.  PMID: 27481618
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling 

Electronically delivered, multicomponent intervention to reduce unnecessary antibiotic prescribing for respiratory infections in primary care: a cluster randomised trial using electronic health records - REDUCE Trial study original protocol
Juszczyka D, Charlton J, McDermott L, Soames J, Sultana K, Ashworth M, Fox R, Hay AD, Little P, Moore MV, Yardley L, Prevost AT, Gulliford MC
BMJ Open.  August 2016.  PMID: 27491663
Research Theme: Primary Care

Community paediatric respiratory infection surveillance study protocol: a feasibility, prospective inception cohort study
Anderson EC, Ingle SM, Muir P, Beck C, Finn A, Leeming JP, Cabral C, Kesten JM, Hay AD
BMJ Open.  August 2016.  PMID: 27580839
Research Theme: Primary Care

Proportion of Pelvic Inflammatory Disease Cases Caused by Chlamydia trachomatis: Consistent Picture From Different Methods
Price MJ, Ades AE, Welton NJ, Simms I, Macleod J, Horner PJ
J Infect Dis.  August 2016.  PMID: 27260786
Research Theme: Population Studies

Nappy pad urine samples for investigation and treatment of UTI in young children: the 'DUTY' prospective diagnostic cohort study
Butler C, Sterne J, Lawton M, O’Brien K, Wootton M, Hood K, Hollingworth W, Little P, Delaney B, van der Voort J, Dudley J, Birnie K, Pickles T, Waldron C, Downing H, Thomas- Jones E, Lisles C, Rumsby K, Durbaba S, Whiting P, Harman K, Howe R, MacGowan A, Fletcher M, Hay AD
Br J Gen Pract.  July 2016.  PMID: 27364678
Research Theme: Primary Care

Improving the diagnosis and treatment of urinary tract infection in young children in primary care: results from the ‘DUTY’ prospective diagnostic cohort study
Hay AD, Sterne J, Hood K, Little P, Delaney B, Hollingworth W, Wootton M, Howe R, MacGowan A, Lawton M, Busby J, Pickles T, Birnie K, O’Brien K, Waldron C, Dudley J, van der Voort J, Downing H, Thomas- Jones E, Harman K, Lisles C, Rumsby K, Durbaba S, Whiting P, Butler C
Ann Fam Med.  July 2016.  PMID: 27401420
Research Theme: Primary Care

Prevalence and burden of HCV co-infection in people living with HIV: a global systematic review and meta-analysis
Platt L, Easterbrook P, Gower E, McDonald B, Sabin K, McGowan C, Yanny I, Razavi H, Vickerman P
Lancet Infect Dis.  July 2016.  PMID: 26922272
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis

‌Should azithromycin 1 g be abandoned as a treatment for bacterial STIs? The case for and against
Horner P, Saunders J
Sex Transm Infect.  July 2016.  PMID: 27418572
Research Theme: Population Studies

‌Faecal carriage of antibiotic resistant Escherichia coli in asymptomatic children and associations with primary care antibiotic prescribing: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Bryce A, Costelloe C, Hawcroft C, Wootton M, Hay AD
BMC Infect Dis.  July 2016.  PMID: 27456093
Research Theme: Primary Care

Safety of reduced antibiotic prescribing for self-limiting respiratory tract infections in primary care: cohort study using electronic health records
Gulliford MC, Morre MV, Little P, Hay AD, Fox R, Prevost AT, Juszczyk D, Charlot J, Ashworth M
BMJ.  July 2016.  PMID: 27378578
Research Theme: Primary Care

‌Hepatitis C - Assessment to Treatment Trial (HepCATT) in primary care: study protocol for a cluster randomised controlled trial
Roberts K, Macleod J, Metcalfe C, Simon J, Horwood J, Hollingworth W, Marlowe S, Gordon FH, Muir P, Coleman B, Vickerman P, Harrison GI, Waldron CA, Irving W, Hickman M
Trials.  July 2016.  PMID: 27473371
Research Theme: Primary Care 

‌Prioritization of HCV treatment in the direct-acting antiviral era: An economic evaluation
Martin NK, Vickerman P, Dore GJ, Grebely J, Miners A, Cairns J, Foster GR, Hutchinson SJ, Goldberg DJ, Martin TC, Ramsay M; STOP-HCV Consortium, Hickman M
J Hepatol.  July 2016.  PMID: 26867489
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌Prevalence and burden of HCV co-infection in people living with HIV: a global systematic review and meta-analysis
Platt L, Easterbrook P, Gower E, McDonald B, Sabin K, McGowan C, Yanny I, Razavi H, Vickerman P
Lancet Infect Dis.  July 2016.  PMID: 26922272
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling; Evidence Synthesis

‌Risk of nosocomial respiratory syncytial virus infection and effectiveness of control measures to prevent transmission events: a systematic review
French CE, McKenzie BC, Coope C, Rajanaidu S, Paranthaman K, Pebody R, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Noso-RSV Study Group, Higgins JP, Beck CR
Influenza Other Respir Viruses.  July 2016.  PMID: 26901358
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis

‌The Effects of LAIV on Nasopharyngeal Bacteria in Healthy 2-4 Year Olds: a Randomized Controlled Trial
Thors V, Christensen H, Morales-Aza B, Vipond I, Muir P, Finn A
Am J Respir Crit Care Med.  June 2016.  PMID: 26742001
Research Theme: Population Studies

‌ Is increased hepatitis C virus case-finding combined with current or 8-week to 12-week direct-acting antiviral therapy cost-effective in UK prisons? A prevention benefit analysis
Martin NK, Vickerman P, Brew IF, Williamson J, Miners A, Irving WL, Saksena S, Hutchinson SJ, Mandal S, O'Moore E, Hickman M
Hepatology.  June 2016.  PMID: 26864802
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling 

‌Risk of reproductive complications following chlamydia testing: a population-based retrospective cohort study in Denmark
Davies B, Turner KME, Frølund M, Ward H, May MT, Rasmussen S, Benfield T, Westh H, Danish Chlamydia Study Group
Lancet Infect Dis.  June 2016.  PMID: 27289389
Research Theme: Population Studies

‌Low hepatitis B testing among migrants: a cross-sectional study in a UK city
Evlampidou I, Hickman M, Irish C, Young N, Oliver I, Gillett S, Cochrane A
Br J Gen Pract.  June 2016.  PMID: 27025556
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis 

Epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of universal vaccination with Bexsero(®) to reduce meningococcal group B disease in Germany
Christensen H, Irving T, Koch J, Trotter CL, Ultsch B, Weidemann F, Wichmann O, Hellenbrand W
Vaccine.  June 2016 .  PMID: 27109566
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

Factors influencing parents' decision-making when sending children with respiratory tract infections to nursery
Carroll FE, Rooshenas L, Owen-Smith A, Al-Janabi H, Hollinghurst S, Hay AD
J Public Health (Oxf).  June 2016.  PMID: 25904815
Research Theme: Primary Care

Preferences for ARV-based HIV prevention methods among men and women, adolescent girls and female sex workers in Gauteng Province, South Africa: a protocol for a discrete choice experiment
Quaife M, Eakle R, Cabrera M, Vickerman P, Tsepe M, Cianci F, Delany-Moretlwe S, Terris-Prestholt F
BMJ Open.  June 2016.  PMID: 27354071
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌ Impact of a United Kingdom-wide campaign to tackle antimicrobial resistance on self-reported knowledge and behaviour change
Chaintarli K, Ingle SM, Bhattacharya A, Ashiru-Oredope D, Oliver I, Gobin M
BMC Public Health.  May 2016.  PMID: 27177032
Research Theme: Behavioural Science

‌The Potential Impact of a Hepatitis C Vaccine for People Who Inject Drugs: Is a Vaccine Needed in the Age of Direct-Acting Antivirals? 
Stone J, Martin NK, Hickman M, Hellard M, Scott N, McBryde E, Drummer H, Vickerman P
PLoS One.  May 2016.  PMID: 27224423
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌ Can Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) Direct-Acting Antiviral Treatment as Prevention Reverse the HCV Epidemic Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in the United Kingdom? Epidemiological and Modeling Insights
Martin NK, Thornton A, Hickman M, Sabin C, Nelson M, Cooke GS, Martin TC, Delpech V, Ruf M, Price H, Azad Y, Thomson EC, Vickerman P
Clin Infect Dis.  May 2016.  PMID: 26908813
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌ Empiric antibiotic treatment for urinary tract infection in preschool children: susceptibilities of urine sample isolates
Butler CC, O'Brien K, Wootton M, Pickles T3, Hood K, Howe R, Waldron CA, Thomas-Jones E, Dudley J, Van Der Voort J, Rumsby K, Little P, Downing H, Harman K, Hay AD; DUTY Study Team
Fam Pract.  April 2016.  PMID: 26984993
Research Theme: Primary Care

Public health and international drug policy
Csete J, Kamarulzaman A, Kazatchkine M, Altice F, Balicki M, Buxton J, Cepeda J, Comfort M, Goosby E, Goulão J, Hart C, Kerr T, Lajous AM, Lewis S, Martin N, Mejía D, Camacho A, Mathieson D, Obot I, Ogunrombi A, Sherman S, Stone J, Vallath N, Vickerman P, Zábranský T, Beyrer C
Lancet.  April 2016.  PMID: 27021149
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌ Selection of population controls for a Salmonella case-control study in the UK using a market research panel and web-survey provides time and resource savings
Mook P, Kanagarajah S, Maguire H, Adak GK, Dabrera G, Waldram A, Freeman R, Charlett A, Oliver I
Epidemiol Infect.  April 2016.  PMID: 26493476
Research Themes: Population Studies; Behavioural Science 

‌Peer-led interventions to prevent tobacco, alcohol and/or drug use among young people aged 11-21 years: a systematic review and meta-analysis
MacArthur GJ, Harrison S, Caldwell DM, Hickman M, Campbell R
Addiction.  March 2016.  PMID: 26518976
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌Global prevalence of antibiotic resistance in paediatric urinary tract infections caused by Escherichia coli and association with routine use of antibiotics in primary care: systematic review and meta-analysis
Bryce A, Hay AD, Lane IF, Thornton HV, Wootton M, Costelloe C
BMJ.  March 2016.  PMID: 26980184
Research Theme: Primary Care 

‌Influence of Clinical Communication on Parents' Antibiotic Expectations for Children With Respiratory Tract Infections
Cabral C, Ingram J, Lucas PJ, Redmond NM, Kai J, Hay AD, Horwood J
Ann Fam Med.  March 2016.  PMID: 26951589
Research Themes: Primary Care; Behavioural Science 

‌Problem drug use prevalence estimation revisited: heterogeneity in capture–recapture and the role of external evidence
Jones HE, Welton NJ, Ades AE, Pierce M, Davies W, Coleman B, Millar T, Hickman M
Addiction.  March 2016.  PMID: 26499106
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis

Chlamydia trachomatis Pgp3 Antibody Persists and Correlates with Self-Reported Infection and Behavioural Risks in a Blinded Cohort Study
Horner PJ, Wills GS, Righarts A, Vieira S, Kounali D, Samuel D, Winston A, Muir D, Dickson NP, McClure MO
PLoS One.  March 2016.  PMID: 26974653
Research Theme: Population Studies

‌Sexual health risks, service use, and views of rapid point-of-care testing among men who have sex with men attending saunas: a cross-sectional survey
Horwood J, Ingle SM, Burton D, Woodman-Bailey A, Horner P, Jeal N
Int J STD AIDS.  March 2016.  PMID: 25907347
Research Theme: Population Studies

‌Predictors of influenza vaccine uptake during the 2009/10 influenza A H1N1v ("swine flu") pandemic: Results from five national surveys in the United Kingdom
Han YKJ, Michie S, Potts H, Rubin GJ
Prev Med.  March 2016.  PMID: 26757401
Research Theme: Behavioural Science 

‌Primary care clinician antibiotic prescribing decisions in consultations for children with RTIs: a qualitative interview study
Horwood J, Cabral C, Hay AD, Ingram J
Br J Gen Pract.  March 2016.  PMID: 26852795
Research Theme: Primary Care

‌The natural history of Chlamydia trachomatis infection in women: a multi-parameter evidence synthesis
Price MJ, Ades AE, Soldan K, Welton NJ, Macleod J, Simms I, DeAngelis D, Turner KM, Horner PJ
Health Technol Assess.  March 2016.  PMID: 27007215
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis

‌ A novel strategy to reduce very late HIV diagnosis in high-prevalence areas in South-West England: serious incident audit
Womack J , Herieka E, Gompels M, Callaghan S, Burt E, Davies CF, May MT, O'Brien N, Macleod J
J Public Health (Oxf).  March 2016.  PMID: 26917718
Research Themes: Primary Care; Behavioural Science

‌ Comparing the impact of increasing condom use or HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) use among female sex workers
Mukandavire Z, Mitchell KM, Vickerman P
Epidemics.  March 2016.  PMID: 26972515
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌Impact of treatment for opioid dependence on fatal drug-related poisoning: a national cohort study in England
Pierce M, Bird SM, Hickman M, Marsden J, Dunn G, Jones A, Millar T
Addiction.  February 2016.  PMID: 26452239
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling 

‌Are topical antibiotics an alternative to oral antibiotics for children with acute otitis media and ear discharge?
Venekamp RP, Prasad V, Hay AD
BMJ.  February 2016.  PMID: 26848130
Research Theme: Primary Care

‌Can Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) Direct-Acting Antiviral Treatment as Prevention Reverse the HCV Epidemic Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in the United Kingdom? Epidemiological and Modeling Insights
Martin NK, Thornton A, Hickman M, Sabin C, Nelson M, Cooke GS, Martin TC, Delpech V, Ruf M, Price H, Azad Y, Thomson EC, Vickerman P
Clin Infect Dis.  February 2016.  PMID: 26908813
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

What Determines HIV Prevention Costs at Scale? Evidence from the Avahan Programme in India
Lépine A, Chandrashekar S, Shetty G, Vickerman P, Bradley J, Alary M, Moses S, CHARME India Group, Vassall A
Health Econ.  February 2016.  PMID: 26763652
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

Parameterising User Uptake in Economic Evaluations: The role of discrete choice experiments
Terris-Prestholt F, Quaife M, Vickerman P
Health Econ.  February 2016.  PMID: 26763652
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌ A Bayesian approach to estimate changes in condom use from limited human immunodeficiency virus prevalence data
Dureau J, Kalogeropoulos K, Vickerman P, Pickles M, Boily M-C
J R Stat Soc Ser C Appl Stat.  February 2016.  PMID: 26877553
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

Population density profiles of nasopharyngeal carriage of five bacterial species in pre-school children measured using quantitative PCR offer potential insights into the dynamics of transmission
Thors V, Morales-Aza B, Pidwill G, Vipond I, Muir P, Finn A
Hum Vaccin Immunother.  February 2016.  PMID: 26367344
Research Theme: Population Studies

‌Effectiveness of needle/syringe programmes and opiate substitution therapy in preventing HCV transmission among people who inject drugs (Protocol)
Platt L, Reed J, Minozzi S, Vickerman P, Hagan H, French C, Jordan A, Degenhardt L, Hope V, Hutchinson S, Maher L, Palmateer N, Taylor A, Hickman M
Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews.  January 2016.
Research Theme: Evidence Synthesis

‌Commentary on Cousins et al. (2016): Accumulating evidence on risk of mortality on and off opioid substitution treatment
Hickman M, Macleod J, Degenhardt L
Addiction.  January 2016.  PMID: 26669528
Research Theme: Economic Evaluation and Modelling

‌Multipurpose prevention technologies for sexual and reproductive health: mapping global needs for introduction of new preventive products
Schelar E, Polis CB, Essam T, Looker KJ, Bruni L, Chrisman CJ, Manning J
Contraception.  January 2016.  PMID: 26385588
Research Theme: Primary Care